This summer brought record quiet in the Atlantic — as of late September, not a single hurricane has formed in the basin. The reason? A very strong El Niño already in progress, producing the wind shear that tears tropical systems apart before they can develop. But don’t get too comfortable. GARI Contributing Scientist and retired Air Force meteorologist Ken Nash explains why the same El Niño that protected us from hurricanes this summer is likely to bring significant rainfall and flooding to west central Florida this fall — and what to watch for as we move into winter. Download Ken’s full Summer Summary and Fall 2026 Weather Outlook below.
